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Regional Economic Outlook, April 2019, Sub-Saharan Africa

Recovery Amid Elevated Uncertainty

The economic recovery in sub-Saharan Africa is expected to continue, but at a slower pace than envisaged in October 2018.

World Economic Outlook, April 2019

Growth Slowdown, Precarious Recovery

The global economic expansion decelerated in the second half of 2018 with global growth projected to slow to 3.3 percent in 2019, with risks to future growth on the downside.

Fiscal Policy and the Current Account

Fiscal Policy and the Current Account »

Source: Fiscal Policy and the Current Account : Are Microstates Different?

Volume/Issue: 2012/51

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Yehenew Endegnanew , Therese Turner-Jones , and Charles Amo Yartey

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 February 2012

ISBN: 9781463937126

Keywords: Microstates, current account balance, current accounts, current account adjustments, current account deficits, Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents: General, Fiscal and Monetary Policy in Development,

This paper examines the empirical link between fiscal policy and the current account focusing on microstates defined as countries with a population of less than 2 million between 1970 and 2009. The paper employs pa...

Capital Inflows, Sterilization, and Commercial Bank Speculation

Capital Inflows, Sterilization, and Commercial Bank Speculation »

Source: Capital Inflows, Sterilization, and Commercial Bank Speculation : The Case of the Czech Republic in the Mid-1990's

Volume/Issue: 2004/218

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Jakob Christensen

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 November 2004

ISBN: 9781451875171

Keywords: Economic models, Capital inflows, Commercial banks, sterilization, exchange rate policy, Czech Republic, domestic credit, monetary policy, short-term capital inflows, monetary fund

The paper analyzes the relationship between large-scale capital inflows and sterilization efforts in the Czech Republic during 1993-96 using a vector autoregression (VAR) model, which consists of domestic credit, f...

Recent Experiences in Managing Capital Inflows-Cross-Cutting Themes and Possible Policy Framework-Supplementary Information

Recent Experiences in Managing Capital Inflows-Cross-Cutting Themes and Possible Policy Framework-Supplementary Information »

Source: Recent Experiences in Managing Capital Inflows-Cross-Cutting Themes and Possible Policy Framework-Supplementary Information

Volume/Issue: 2011/011

Series: Policy Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 15 February 2011

ISBN: 9781498339346

Keywords: Capital flows, Capital inflows, Cross country analysis, Emerging markets, Fiscal policy, Monetary policy, Supply-side policy, International monetary system, Economic conditions, Capital account liberalization

This supplement provides further information on some of the issues covered in Recent Experiences in Managing Capital Inflows-Cross-Cutting Themes and Possible Policy Framework that have been highlighted in staff's...

The Balance of Payments Impact of the Food and Fuel Price Shocks on Low-Income African Countries

The Balance of Payments Impact of the Food and Fuel Price Shocks on Low-Income African Countries »

Source: The Balance of Payments Impact of the Food and Fuel Price Shocks on Low-Income African Countries : A Country-by-Country Assessment

Volume/Issue: 2008/036

Series: Policy Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 30 June 2008

ISBN: 9781498334457

Keywords: Africa, Balance of payments, External shocks, Financial crisis, Food imports, Oil prices, Terms of trade, Economic growth, Economic recovery, Commodity prices

This note discusses the implications of the price shocks for the balance of payments of low-income countries in sub-Saharan Africa. The response by bilateral donors and multilateral institutions will, in practice,...

Recent Experiences in Managing Capital Inflows-Cross-Cutting Themes and Possible Policy Framework

Recent Experiences in Managing Capital Inflows-Cross-Cutting Themes and Possible Policy Framework »

Source: Recent Experiences in Managing Capital Inflows-Cross-Cutting Themes and Possible Policy Framework

Volume/Issue: 2011/007

Series: Policy Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 14 February 2011

ISBN: 9781498339353

Keywords: Capital flows, Capital inflows, Cross country analysis, Emerging markets, Fiscal policy, Financial crises, Balance of payments, Economic integration, Economic stabilization, International monetary system

Emerging markets (EMs) are experiencing a surge in capital inflows, lifting asset prices and growth prospects. While inflows are typically beneficial for receiving countries, inflow surges can carry macroeconomic a...

Economic Policies and FDI Inflows to Emerging Market Economies

Economic Policies and FDI Inflows to Emerging Market Economies »

Source: Economic Policies and FDI Inflows to Emerging Market Economies

Volume/Issue: 2011/192

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Elif Arbatli

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 August 2011

ISBN: 9781462306251

Keywords: FDI, Emerging Market Economies, Economic Policies, direct investment, foreign direct investment, corporate tax, corporate tax rates, International Factor Movements And International Business,

This paper investigates the determinants of FDI inflows to emerging market economies, concentrating on the effects of economic policies. The empirical analysis also addresses the role of external push factors and o...

Foreign Direct Investment in Emerging Markets

Foreign Direct Investment in Emerging Markets »

Source: Foreign Direct Investment in Emerging Markets : Income, Repatriations and Financial Vulnerabillities

Volume/Issue: 2002/47

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Alexander Lehmann

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2002

ISBN: 9781451846652

Keywords: Profitability of Foreign Direct Investment, Cashflows in Multinational Corporations, direct investment, fdi, foreign direct investment, investors, host country, Financial Aspects of Economic Integration, Payout Policy,

Based on U.S. data, the returns on foreign direct investment in emerging markets are shown to be substantially higher than would be suggested by official balance of payments statistics. This paper identifies the de...

Fiscal Sustainability in Remittance-Dependent Economies

Fiscal Sustainability in Remittance-Dependent Economies »

Source: Fiscal Sustainability in Remittance-Dependent Economies

Volume/Issue: 2009/190

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Ralph Chami , Yasser Abdih , Amine Mati , and Michael Gapen

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 2009

ISBN: 9781451873375

Keywords: remittance-dependent economies, growth rate, remittance, growth rate of remittances, real gdp, Open Economy Macroeconomics, Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents: General, National Deficit Surplus,

We investigate the impact of remittances on public debt sustainability and detail how the traditional debt-to-GDP ratio can be modified to create a more accurate representation of debt sustainability for a country...

Fiscal Deficits and Current Account Deficits

Fiscal Deficits and Current Account Deficits »

Source: Fiscal Deficits and Current Account Deficits

Volume/Issue: 2009/237

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Michael Kumhof , and Douglas Laxton

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 October 2009

ISBN: 9781451873849

Keywords: Non-Ricardian Households, Government Deficits, Global Current Account Imbalances, current account, fiscal deficits, government spending, Open Economy Macroeconomics, International Policy Coordination and Transmission, Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents: General,

The effectiveness of recent fiscal stimulus packages significantly depends on the assumption of non-Ricardian savings behavior. We show that, under the same assumption, fiscal deficits can have worrisome implicatio...

Capital Flows at Risk: Taming the Ebbs and Flows

Capital Flows at Risk: Taming the Ebbs and Flows »

Source: Capital Flows at Risk: Taming the Ebbs and Flows

Volume/Issue: 2019/279

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): R. Gelos , Lucyna Gornicka , Robin Koepke , Ratna Sahay , and Silvia Sgherri

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 20 December 2019

ISBN: 9781513522906

Keywords: Economic conditions, Exchange markets, Financial crises, Foreign exchange operations, Capital inflows, Capital flows, macroprudential policies, foreign-exchange intervention, capital controls, emerging markets

The volatility of capital flows to emerging markets continues to pose challenges to policymakers. In this paper, we propose a new framework to answer critical policy questions: What policies and policy frameworks a...