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Challenging the Empirical Evidence From Present Value Models of the Current Account

Challenging the Empirical Evidence From Present Value Models of the Current Account »

Source: Challenging the Empirical Evidence From Present Value Models of the Current Account

Volume/Issue: 2004/106

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Jacques Miniane , and Benoît Mercereau

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 2004

ISBN: 9781451852929

Keywords: present value model, model evaluation, correlation, probability, covariance, statistic, Bayesian Analysis, Model Evaluation and Selection, Open Economy Macroeconomics,

Under near-singularity conditions typically generated by persistence in current account data the predictions of present value models become extremely sensitive to small sample estimation error. Moreover, traditiona...

The Pre-Crisis Capital Flow Surge to Emerging Europe

The Pre-Crisis Capital Flow Surge to Emerging Europe »

Source: The Pre-Crisis Capital Flow Surge to Emerging Europe : Did Countercyclical Fiscal Policy Make a Difference?

Volume/Issue: 2012/222

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Ruben Atoyan , Dustin Smith , and Albert Jaeger

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 2012

ISBN: 9781475510270

Keywords: absorption boom, capital inflows, private capital inflows, private capital, Model Evaluation and Selection,

A push-pull-brake model of capital flows is used to study the effects of fiscal policy changes on private capital flows to emerging Europe during 2000-07. In the model, countercyclical fiscal policy has two opposin...

Challenging the Empirical Evidence From Present Value Models of the Current Account

Challenging the Empirical Evidence From Present Value Models of the Current Account »

Volume/Issue: 2004/106

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Jacques Miniane , and Benoît Mercereau

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 2004

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451852929.001

ISBN: 9781451852929

Keywords: present value model, model evaluation, correlation, probability, covariance, statistic, Bayesian Analysis, Model Evaluation and Selection, Open Economy Macroeconomics,

Under near-singularity conditions typically generated by persistence in current account data the predictions of present value models become extremely sensitive to small sample estimation error. Moreover, traditiona...

The Pre-Crisis Capital Flow Surge to Emerging Europe
			: Did Countercyclical Fiscal Policy Make a Difference?

The Pre-Crisis Capital Flow Surge to Emerging Europe : Did Countercyclical Fiscal Policy Make a Difference? »

Volume/Issue: 2012/222

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Ruben Atoyan , Dustin Smith , and Albert Jaeger

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 2012

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475510270.001

ISBN: 9781475510270

Keywords: absorption boom, capital inflows, private capital inflows, private capital, Model Evaluation and Selection,

A push-pull-brake model of capital flows is used to study the effects of fiscal policy changes on private capital flows to emerging Europe during 2000-07. In the model, countercyclical fiscal policy has two opposin...