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Anticipating Balance of Payments Crises--The Role of Early Warning Systems
			: The Role of Early Warning Systems

Anticipating Balance of Payments Crises--The Role of Early Warning Systems : The Role of Early Warning Systems »

Series: Occasional Papers

Author(s): Catherine Pattillo , Andrew Berg , Gian Milesi-Ferretti , and Eduardo Borensztein

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 24 January 2000

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781557758286.084

ISBN: 9781557758286

Keywords: currency crises, probability, balance of payments, contagion, currency crisis

Recent years have witnessed an increase in the frequency of currency and balance of payments crises in developing countries. More important, the crises have become more virulent, have caused widespread disruption t...

Capital Inflows

Capital Inflows »

Source: Capital Inflows : Macroeconomic Implications and Policy Responses

Volume/Issue: 2009/40

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Selim Elekdag , Ayhan Kose , and Roberto Cardarelli

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2009

ISBN: 9781451871883

Keywords: crises, sterilization, exchange rate, private capital inflows, private capital,

This paper examines the macroeconomic implications of, and policy responses to surges in private capital inflows across a large group of emerging and advanced economies. In particular, we identify 109 episodes of l...

Large Capital Flows

Large Capital Flows »

Source: Large Capital Flows : A Survey of the Causes, Consequences, and Policy Responses

Volume/Issue: 1999/17

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Alejandro Lopez Mejia

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 February 1999

ISBN: 9781451843514

Keywords: Capital Flows, Crises, Policy Responses, Survey, capital inflows, exchange rate, private capital flows, private capital

This paper reviews the causes, consequences, and policy responses to large capital flows in several emerging markets. It opens by studying recent patterns of capital flows, and then discusses the causes of capital...

Balance of Payments Anti-Crises

Balance of Payments Anti-Crises »

Source: Balance of Payments Anti-Crises

Volume/Issue: 2009/134

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Isabel Yan , and Michael Kumhof

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 2009

ISBN: 9781451872811

Keywords: Balance of payments anti-crises, inflation dynamics, foreign exchange, exchange rate, inflation targeting,

Several emerging economies have, until recently, experienced large government surpluses and accelerating foreign exchange reserve accumulation. This has been accompanied by economic booms, exchange rate appreciatio...

Capital Flows to Brazil: The Endogeneity of Capital Controls

Capital Flows to Brazil: The Endogeneity of Capital Controls »

Source: IMF Staff papers, Volume 45 No. 1

Volume: 45

Series: IMF Staff Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 1998

ISBN: 9781451974515

Keywords: exchange rate, real exchange, real exchange rate, currency crises, interest rates

This paper analyzes some leading indicators of currency crises, and proposes a specific early warning system. This system involves monitoring the evolution of several indicators that tend to exhibit an unusual beha...

Real Effects of Capital Inflows in Emerging Markets

Real Effects of Capital Inflows in Emerging Markets »

Source: Real Effects of Capital Inflows in Emerging Markets

Volume/Issue: 2016/235

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Deniz Igan , Ali Kutan , and Ali Mirzae

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 06 December 2016

ISBN: 9781475558555

Keywords: Financial crises, Industrial sector, Capital flows, Capital inflows, Economic growth, Emerging markets, financial dependence, industry growth, emerging economies, General

We examine the association between capital inflows and industry growth in a sample of 22 emerging market economies from 1998 to 2010. We expect more external finance dependent industries in countries that host more...

Do Some Forms of Financial Flows Help Protect From Sudden Stops?

Do Some Forms of Financial Flows Help Protect From Sudden Stops? »

Source: Do Some Forms of Financial Flows Help Protect From Sudden Stops?

Volume/Issue: 2006/202

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Paolo Mauro , and Andrei Levchenko

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 2006

ISBN: 9781451864625

Keywords: crises, financial flows, fdi, direct investment, foreign investors, International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions, Financial Aspects of Economic Integration,

There is a debate on whether some forms of financial flows offer better crisis protection than others. Using a large panel of advanced, emerging, and developing countries during 1970-2003, this paper analyzes the b...

Current Account Reversals and Currency Crises

Current Account Reversals and Currency Crises »

Source: Current Account Reversals and Currency Crises : Empirical Regularities

Volume/Issue: 1998/89

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Gian Milesi-Ferretti , and Assaf Razin

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 1998

ISBN: 9781451952421

Keywords: currency crisis, current account reversal, growth, real exchange rate, current account deficits, currency crises, current account balance, current account reversals

This paper studies large reductions in current account deficits and exchange rate depreciations in low- and middle-income countries. It examines which factors help predict the occurrence of a reversal or a currency...

The New Economics of Capital Controls Imposed for Prudential Reasons+L4888*

The New Economics of Capital Controls Imposed for Prudential Reasons+L4888* »

Source: The New Economics of Capital Controls Imposed for Prudential Reasons+L4888

Volume/Issue: 2011/298

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Anton Korinek

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 2011

ISBN: 9781463927844

Keywords: financial crises, balance sheet effects, pecuniary externalities, capital controls, capital inflows, capital flows, domestic agents, New Economics of Capital Controls,

This paper provides an introduction to the new economics of prudential capital controls in emerging economies. This literature is based on the notion that there are externalities associated with financial crises be...

II What Causes Balance of Payments Crises?

II What Causes Balance of Payments Crises? »

Source: Anticipating Balance of Payments Crises--The Role of Early Warning Systems : The Role of Early Warning Systems

Series: Occasional Papers

Author(s): Catherine Pattillo , Andrew Berg , Gian Milesi-Ferretti , and Eduardo Borensztein

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 24 January 2000

ISBN: 9781557758286

Keywords: currency crises, probability, balance of payments, contagion, currency crisis

The sudden collapse of exchange rate pegs in the absence of an immediate major change in economic fundamentals can seem a clear proof of irrationality in foreign exchange markets. An important contribution o...