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Global Financial Stability Report, April 2019

Vulnerabilities in a Maturing Credit Cycle

The April 2019 GFSR finds that despite significant variability over the past two quarters, financial conditions remain accommodative.

World Economic Outlook, April 2019

Growth Slowdown, Precarious Recovery

The global economic expansion decelerated in the second half of 2018 with global growth projected to slow to 3.3 percent in 2019, with risks to future growth on the downside.

Effectiveness of Capital Outflow Restrictions

Effectiveness of Capital Outflow Restrictions »

Source: Effectiveness of Capital Outflow Restrictions

Volume/Issue: 2014/8

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Christian Saborowski , Sarah Sanya , Hans Weisfeld , and Juan Yepez

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 21 January 2014

ISBN: 9781484379752

Keywords: Emerging economies, capital outflow, capital flow, net capital, General, Globalization: Finance,

This paper examines the effectiveness of capital outflow restrictions in a sample of 37 emerging market economies during the period 1995-2010, using a panel vector autoregression approach with interaction terms. Sp...

Gross Private Capital Flows to Emerging Markets

Gross Private Capital Flows to Emerging Markets »

Source: Gross Private Capital Flows to Emerging Markets : Can the Global Financial Cycle Be Tamed?

Volume/Issue: 2014/196

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Erlend Nier , Tahsin Saadi Sedik , and Tomas Mondino

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 27 October 2014

ISBN: 9781498351867

Keywords: Global financial cycles, Emerging Market Economies, capital inflows, private capital, capital controls, Other, Portfolio Choice,

This paper assesses empirically the key drivers of private capital flows to a large sample of emerging market economies in the last decade. It analyzes the effect of the global financial cycle, measured by the VIX,...

Fiscal Deficits and Current Account Deficits

Fiscal Deficits and Current Account Deficits »

Source: Fiscal Deficits and Current Account Deficits

Volume/Issue: 2009/237

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Michael Kumhof , and Douglas Laxton

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 October 2009

ISBN: 9781451873849

Keywords: Non-Ricardian Households, Government Deficits, Global Current Account Imbalances, current account, fiscal deficits, government spending, Open Economy Macroeconomics, International Policy Coordination and Transmission, Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents: General,

The effectiveness of recent fiscal stimulus packages significantly depends on the assumption of non-Ricardian savings behavior. We show that, under the same assumption, fiscal deficits can have worrisome implicatio...

The Drivers, Implications and Outlook for China's Shrinking Current Account Surplus1

The Drivers, Implications and Outlook for China's Shrinking Current Account Surplus1 »

Source: The Drivers, Implications and Outlook for China's Shrinking Current Account Surplus

Volume/Issue: 2019/244

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Pragyan Deb , Albe Gjonbalaj , and Swarnali Hannan

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 08 November 2019

ISBN: 9781513516097

Keywords: Accounting, Aging, Assets, Balance of trade, Bank deposits, Bilateral trade, Bonds, Capital, Capital account, Capital flows

China's current account surplus has declined significantly from its peak in 2008 and the external position in 2018 was in line with medium-term fundamentals and desirable policies. While cyclical factors and expans...

4. Capital Flows to MENAP and the CCA: Opportunities and Risks

4. Capital Flows to MENAP and the CCA: Opportunities and Risks »

Source: Regional Economic Outlook, October 2019, Middle East and Central Asia

Series: Regional Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 06 November 2019

ISBN: 9781513514000

Keywords: Regional Economic Outlook, Middle East and Central Asia, Economic growth, Oil prices, Market economies, Regional economics, Fiscal policy, economic outlook, global trade tensions, oil-importing countries

Capital flows to the Middle East and Central Asian countries have been resilient even as global financial conditions tightened in 2014–16. Such flows have helped finance current account and fisc...

Effectiveness of Capital Outflow Restrictions

Effectiveness of Capital Outflow Restrictions »

Volume/Issue: 2014/8

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Christian Saborowski , Sarah Sanya , Hans Weisfeld , and Juan Yepez

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 21 January 2014

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484379752.001

ISBN: 9781484379752

Keywords: Emerging economies, capital outflow, capital flow, net capital, General, Globalization: Finance,

This paper examines the effectiveness of capital outflow restrictions in a sample of 37 emerging market economies during the period 1995-2010, using a panel vector autoregression approach with interaction terms. Sp...

Gross Private Capital Flows to Emerging Markets
			: Can the Global Financial Cycle Be Tamed?

Gross Private Capital Flows to Emerging Markets : Can the Global Financial Cycle Be Tamed? »

Volume/Issue: 2014/196

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Erlend Nier , Tahsin Saadi Sedik , and Tomas Mondino

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 27 October 2014

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781498351867.001

ISBN: 9781498351867

Keywords: Global financial cycles, Emerging Market Economies, capital inflows, private capital, capital controls, Other, Portfolio Choice,

This paper assesses empirically the key drivers of private capital flows to a large sample of emerging market economies in the last decade. It analyzes the effect of the global financial cycle, measured by the VIX,...

Fiscal Deficits and Current Account Deficits

Fiscal Deficits and Current Account Deficits »

Volume/Issue: 2009/237

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Michael Kumhof , and Douglas Laxton

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 October 2009

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451873849.001

ISBN: 9781451873849

Keywords: Non-Ricardian Households, Government Deficits, Global Current Account Imbalances, current account, fiscal deficits, government spending, Open Economy Macroeconomics, International Policy Coordination and Transmission, Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents: General,

The effectiveness of recent fiscal stimulus packages significantly depends on the assumption of non-Ricardian savings behavior. We show that, under the same assumption, fiscal deficits can have worrisome implicatio...

The Drivers, Implications and Outlook for China's Shrinking Current Account Surplus

The Drivers, Implications and Outlook for China's Shrinking Current Account Surplus »

Volume/Issue: 2019/244

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Pragyan Deb , Albe Gjonbalaj , and Swarnali Hannan

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 08 November 2019

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513516097.001

ISBN: 9781513516097

Keywords: Accounting, Aging, Assets, Balance of trade, Bank deposits, Bilateral trade, Bonds, Capital, Capital account, Capital flows

China's current account surplus has declined significantly from its peak in 2008 and the external position in 2018 was in line with medium-term fundamentals and desirable policies. While cyclical factors and expans...