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Current Account Reversals and Currency Crises

Current Account Reversals and Currency Crises »

Source: Current Account Reversals and Currency Crises : Empirical Regularities

Volume/Issue: 1998/89

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Gian Milesi-Ferretti , and Assaf Razin

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 1998

ISBN: 9781451952421

Keywords: currency crisis, current account reversal, growth, real exchange rate, current account deficits, currency crises, current account balance, current account reversals

This paper studies large reductions in current account deficits and exchange rate depreciations in low- and middle-income countries. It examines which factors help predict the occurrence of a reversal or a currency...

Current Account Sustainability

Current Account Sustainability »

Source: Current Account Sustainability : Selected East Asian and Latin American Experiences

Volume/Issue: 1996/110

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Assaf Razin , and Gian Milesi-Ferretti

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 October 1996

ISBN: 9781451853292

Keywords: current account, current account deficits, capital inflows, external debt, capital flows

A number of developing countries have run large and persistent current account deficits in both the late seventies/early eighties and in the early nineties, raising the issue of whether these persistent imbalances...

Current Accounts

Current Accounts »

Source: Current Accounts : What Is Their Relevance for Economic Policymaking?

Volume/Issue: 1998/71

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Fabio Scacciavillani , and Malcolm Knight

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 May 1998

ISBN: 9781451849219

Keywords: current account sustainability, current account balance, current account deficit, balance of payments, current account position

This paper surveys the main theoretical approaches for analyzing movements in the current account of the balance of payments, from the Mundell-Fleming paradigm to modern intertemporal approaches. It discusses the m...

Current Accounts in a Currency Union

Current Accounts in a Currency Union »

Source: Current Accounts in a Currency Union

Volume/Issue: 2009/127

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Jörg Decressin , and Emil Stavrev

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 2009

ISBN: 9781451872743

Keywords: currency union, EMU, real exchange rate, exchange rate, current accounts, current account balance,

A fear about EMU was that in the absence of national currencies, country-specific shocks would result in greater current account divergences between member states. This paper finds that divergences across euro-area...

Demographics, Old-Age Transfers and the Current Account1

Demographics, Old-Age Transfers and the Current Account1 »

Source: Demographics, Old-Age Transfers and the Current Account

Volume/Issue: 2018/264

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Mai Chi Dao , and Callum Jones

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 07 December 2018

ISBN: 9781484385906

Keywords: Pensions, Demographic indicators, Current account balances, Current account surpluses, Capital flows, Aging, Demographics, Current Account Flows, External Imbalances, General

Building on the evolving literature on the topic, this paper reviews the relationship between demographics and long-run capital flows in both theory and in the data. For this purpose, we develop a two region overla...

Do Capital Flows Reflect Economic Fundamentals in Developing Countries?

Do Capital Flows Reflect Economic Fundamentals in Developing Countries? »

Source: Do Capital Flows Reflect Economic Fundamentals in Developing Countries?

Volume/Issue: 1993/34

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Atish Ghosh , and Jonathan Ostry

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 April 1993

ISBN: 9781451978827

Keywords: current account, current account deficit, current account balances, current account surplus, debt crisis

This paper proposes a methodology for testing whether capital flows to developing countries are determined by economic fundamentals or by purely speculative forces. We use the intertemporal optimizing approach to c...

18 Does the Current Account Matter?

18 Does the Current Account Matter? »

Source: International Financial Policy : Essays in honor of Jacques J. Polak

Series: Books

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 15 September 1991

ISBN: 9781557751966

Keywords: exchange rate, monetary fund, current account, exchange rates, inflation

In this paper I shall contrast the “old view” and the “new view” of the current account. I subscribe to the new view, but I shall devote much of this paper to exploring possible qualifications to it. Given t...

Effective Trade Costs and the Current Account: An Empirical Analysis

Effective Trade Costs and the Current Account: An Empirical Analysis »

Source: Effective Trade Costs and the Current Account: An Empirical Analysis

Volume/Issue: 2019/8

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Emine Boz , Nan Li , and Hongrui Zhang

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 15 January 2019

ISBN: 9781484392171

Keywords: Global imbalances, Current account, trade costs, structural gravity model, comparative advantage, trade restrictiveness, Country and Industry Studies of Trade, Open Economy Macroeconomics

A view receiving increased support is that the height of trade costs in prime export sectors has a strong effect on current account balances: countries specializing in sectors that face relatively high trade costs,...

Effectiveness of Capital Controls in Selected Emerging Markets in the 2000's

Effectiveness of Capital Controls in Selected Emerging Markets in the 2000's »

Source: Effectiveness of Capital Controls in Selected Emerging Markets in the 2000's

Volume/Issue: 2011/281

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Chikako Baba , and Annamaria Kokenyne

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 2011

ISBN: 9781463926625

Keywords: emerging market economies, capital flows, net capital flows, current account balance

This paper estimates the effectiveness of capital controls in response to inflow surges in Brazil, Colombia, Korea, and Thailand in the 2000s. Controls are generally associated with a decrease in inflows and a leng...

The Effects of Currency Substitutionon the Response of the Current Account to Supply Shocks

The Effects of Currency Substitutionon the Response of the Current Account to Supply Shocks »

Source: The Effects of Currency Substitutionon the Response of the Current Account to Supply Shocks

Volume/Issue: 1988/5

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 1988

ISBN: 9781451929454

Keywords: current account, balance of payments, oil shock, current account surplus, oil prices

Standard real models predict that a permanent increase in oil prices would result in a current account surplus. This is due to the fact that investment falls while saving remains unchanged. This paper shows that if...