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Current Account and Real Exchange Rate Dynamics in the G-7 Countries

Current Account and Real Exchange Rate Dynamics in the G-7 Countries »

Volume/Issue: 2002/130

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Menzie Chinn , and Jaewoo Lee

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 August 2002

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451855203.001

ISBN: 9781451855203

Keywords: real exchange rate, intertemporal models, permanent and temporary shocks, exchange rate, current account balance, exchange rates, Open Economy Macroeconomics,

The canonical predictions of intertemporal open-economy macro models are tested by a structural VAR analysis of Group of Seven countries. The analysis is distinguished from the previous literature in that it adopts...

Current Account Balance Estimates for Emerging Market Economies

Current Account Balance Estimates for Emerging Market Economies »

Volume/Issue: 2010/43

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Jordi Prat , Leandro Medina , and Alun Thomas

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 February 2010

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451962994.001

ISBN: 9781451962994

Keywords: Real exchange rate, macro-balance approach, current account norm, current account, current account balance, current account balances, current account deficits, International Finance Forecasting and Simulation,

This paper uses a modified version of the methodology used by the IMF's Consultative Group on Exchange Rate Issues (CGER) to calculate equilibrium current account balances (or ?norms?) for a sample of 33 emerging m...

Current Account Deficits, External Liabilities and Economic Policy

Current Account Deficits, External Liabilities and Economic Policy »

Volume/Issue: 1992/54

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): J. Pitchford

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 July 1992

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451847437.001

ISBN: 9781451847437

Keywords: current account, current account deficit, current account balance, current account deficits, foreign debt

This paper assesses the policy significance of foreign liabilities and the current account deficits that give rise to them. Current account imbalances are shown to have some capacity to indicate difficulties elsewh...

Current Account Determinants for Oil-Exporting Countries

Current Account Determinants for Oil-Exporting Countries »

Volume/Issue: 2009/28

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Hanan Morsy

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 February 2009

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451871753.001

ISBN: 9781451871753

Keywords: oil exporters, current account balance, current account deficits, current account deficit,

The paper aims at characterizing the main determinants of the medium-term current account balance for oil-exporting countries using dynamic panel estimation techniques. Previous studies included a very limited numb...

Current Account Imbalances
			: Can Structural Policies Make a Difference?

Current Account Imbalances : Can Structural Policies Make a Difference? »

Volume/Issue: 2012/61

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Anna Ivanova

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 February 2012

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781463937799.001

ISBN: 9781463937799

Keywords: structural policies, imbalances, current account balance, current accounts, current account surplus,

The discussion of global and regional imbalances has put the spotlight on the possible link between current accounts and structural policies. Drawing on standard empirical current account models, the paper finds th...

Current Account Imbalances in AsEAN Countries
			: Are they a Problem?

Current Account Imbalances in AsEAN Countries : Are they a Problem? »

Volume/Issue: 1997/51

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Jonathan Ostry

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 April 1997

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451847079.001

ISBN: 9781451847079

Keywords: current account deficit, current account deficits, current account balance, external debt

Applying a consumption-smoothing model to five ASEAN countries reveals that excessive private consumption has not tended to characterize their widening external imbalances in recent years, except to a small degree...

Current Account Imbalances in the Southern Euro Area

Current Account Imbalances in the Southern Euro Area »

Volume/Issue: 2010/139

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Florence Jaumotte , and Piyaporn Sodsriwiboon

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 2010

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781455201228.001

ISBN: 9781455201228

Keywords: financial liberalization, current accounts, current account deficits, current account balance, current account balances, Financial Aspects of Economic Integration,

The paper examines the causes, consequences, and potential cures of the large current account deficits in the Southern Euro Area (SEA). These were mostly driven by a decline in private saving rates. But it was the...

Current Account Norms in Natural Resource Rich and Capital Scarce Economies

Current Account Norms in Natural Resource Rich and Capital Scarce Economies »

Volume/Issue: 2013/80

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Juliana Araujo , Bin Li , Marcos Poplawski-Ribeiro , and Luis-Felipe Zanna

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 27 March 2013

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484396032.001

ISBN: 9781484396032

Keywords: External Sustainability, Developing Economies, current account balances, current account balance, current account deficits, current account surpluses, Open Economy Macroeconomics, Cooperative Enterprises,

The permanent income hypothesis implies that frictionless open economies with exhaustible natural resources should save abroad most of their resource windfalls and, therefore, feature current account surpluses. Res...

Current Account Reversals and Currency Crises
			: Empirical Regularities

Current Account Reversals and Currency Crises : Empirical Regularities »

Volume/Issue: 1998/89

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Gian Milesi-Ferretti , and Assaf Razin

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 1998

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451952421.001

ISBN: 9781451952421

Keywords: currency crisis, current account reversal, growth, real exchange rate, current account deficits, currency crises, current account balance, current account reversals

This paper studies large reductions in current account deficits and exchange rate depreciations in low- and middle-income countries. It examines which factors help predict the occurrence of a reversal or a currency...

Current Accounts in a Currency Union

Current Accounts in a Currency Union »

Volume/Issue: 2009/127

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Jörg Decressin , and Emil Stavrev

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 2009

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451872743.001

ISBN: 9781451872743

Keywords: currency union, EMU, real exchange rate, exchange rate, current accounts, current account balance,

A fear about EMU was that in the absence of national currencies, country-specific shocks would result in greater current account divergences between member states. This paper finds that divergences across euro-area...