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The Effectiveness of Capital Controls and Prudential Policies in Managing Large Inflows

The Effectiveness of Capital Controls and Prudential Policies in Managing Large Inflows »

Volume/Issue: 2011/14

Series: Staff Discussion Notes

Author(s): Karl Habermeier , Annamaria Kokenyne , and Chikako Baba

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 05 August 2011

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781463902896.006

ISBN: 9781463902896

Keywords: Emerging markets, Exchange rate appreciation, Cross country analysis, Credit expansion, Capital controls, Capital inflows, Risk management, Macroprudential Policy, financial regulation, macroprudential policies

Staff Discussion Notes showcase the latest policy-related analysis and research being developed by individual IMF staff and are published to elicit comment and to further debate. These papers are generally brief an...

Capital Inflows
			: The Role of Controls

Capital Inflows : The Role of Controls »

Volume/Issue: 2010/04

Series: IMF Staff Position Notes

Author(s): Jonathan Ostry , Atish Ghosh , Karl Habermeier , Marcos Chamon , Mahvash Qureshi , and Dennis B. S. Reinhardt

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 19 February 2010

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781462347513.004

ISBN: 9781462347513

Keywords: Cross country analysis, Capital controls, Capital inflows, Banking sector, Financial crisis, Exchange rate appreciation, Reserves accumulation, Global Financial Crisis 2008-2009, Fiscal policy, Monetary policy

With the global economy beginning to emerge from the financial crisis, capital is flowing back to emerging market countries (EMEs). These flows, and capital mobility more generally, allow countries with limited sav...

Balance of Payments Anti-Crises

Balance of Payments Anti-Crises »

Volume/Issue: 2009/134

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Isabel Yan , and Michael Kumhof

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 2009

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451872811.001

ISBN: 9781451872811

Keywords: Balance of payments anti-crises, inflation dynamics, foreign exchange, exchange rate, inflation targeting,

Several emerging economies have, until recently, experienced large government surpluses and accelerating foreign exchange reserve accumulation. This has been accompanied by economic booms, exchange rate appreciatio...

Exchange Market Pressures and Speculative Capital Flows in Selected European Countries

Exchange Market Pressures and Speculative Capital Flows in Selected European Countries »

Volume/Issue: 1994/21

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Ceyla Pazarbasioglu , and Inci Ötker

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 February 1994

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451921571.001

ISBN: 9781451921571

Keywords: exchange rate, probability, foreign exchange, equation, fixed exchange rate

This paper estimates a speculative attack model of currency crises in an attempt to identify the roles of macroeconomic fundamentals and speculative market pressures in the recent crisis, as well as earlier devalua...

Exchange Rate Policy and the Management of Official and Private Capital Flows in Africa

Exchange Rate Policy and the Management of Official and Private Capital Flows in Africa »

Volume/Issue: 2004/216

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Catherine Pattillo , Stephen O'Connell , Christopher Adam , and Edward Buffie

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 November 2004

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451875119.001

ISBN: 9781451875119

Keywords: Sterilization, Seigniorage, exchange rate, inflation, real exchange rate, foreign exchange, price level,

We focus on the management of highly persistent shocks to aid flows, including PRSP-related increases in net inflows, in three “post-stabilization.” African economies with de jure flexible exchange ra...

Fiscal Imbalances, Capital Inflows, and the Real Exchange Rate
			: The Case of Turkey

Fiscal Imbalances, Capital Inflows, and the Real Exchange Rate : The Case of Turkey »

Volume/Issue: 1997/1

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): E. Ucer , C. McDermott , and Pierre-Richard Agénor

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 1997

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451841596.001

ISBN: 9781451841596

Keywords: exchange rate, capital inflows, real exchange rate, capital flows, foreign exchange

This paper examines the links between fiscal policy, capital inflows, and the real exchange rate in Turkey since the late 1980s. After an overview of recent macroeconomic developments in Turkey, a vector autoregres...

International Capital Flow Pressures

International Capital Flow Pressures »

Volume/Issue: 2018/30

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Linda Goldberg , and Signe Krogstrup

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 16 February 2018

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484341803.001

ISBN: 9781484341803

Keywords: Exchange Market Pressure; Risk aversion; Safe haven; Capital flows; Exchange Rate; Foreign Exchange Reserves, Exchange Market Pressure, Risk aversion, Safe haven, Capital flows, Exchange Rate, Foreign Exchange Reserves, Portfolio Choice, General

This paper presents a new measure of capital flow pressures in the form of a recast Exchange Market Pressure index. The measure captures pressures that materialize in actual international capital flows as well as p...

International Financial Flows and Transactions Taxes
			: Survey and Options

International Financial Flows and Transactions Taxes : Survey and Options »

Volume/Issue: 1995/60

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): P. Spahn

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 1995

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451847994.001

ISBN: 9781451847994

Keywords: exchange rate, foreign exchange, financial markets, exchange rates, exchange markets

Tobin has suggested that exchange rate volatility be controlled through a tax on international financial transactions. This analysis shows that the Tobin tax as a pure transaction tax is not viable. The tax would i...

The Dynamics of Real Interest Rates, Real Exchange Rates and the Balance of Payments in China
			: 1980-2002

The Dynamics of Real Interest Rates, Real Exchange Rates and the Balance of Payments in China : 1980-2002 »

Volume/Issue: 2003/67

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Zhongxia Jin

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 April 2003

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451848922.001

ISBN: 9781451848922

Keywords: exchange rate, foreign exchange, real exchange rate, real interest rate, exchange reserves, Econometric Methods: - Multiple/Simultaneous Equation Models, Money and Interest Rates, Macroeconomic - Aspects of Public Finance, Macroeconomic Policy, and General Outlook

Based on China's experience between 1980 and 2002, a cointegrated vector autoregression model was established to explore the relationships among real interest rates, real exchange rates and balance of payments in C...

The Effects of Capital Controls on Exchange Rate Volatility and Output

The Effects of Capital Controls on Exchange Rate Volatility and Output »

Volume/Issue: 2001/187

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Christiane Nickel , Günter Schmidt , Georg Stadtmann , and Michael Frenkel

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 November 2001

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451859515.001

ISBN: 9781451859515

Keywords: exchange rate, capital control, capital inflows, foreign exchange, Open Economy Macroeconomics,

This paper extends the Dornbusch model of overshooting exchange rates to discuss both exchange rate and output effects of capital controls that involve additional costs for international asset transactions. We show...