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II What Causes Balance of Payments Crises?

II What Causes Balance of Payments Crises? »

Source: Anticipating Balance of Payments Crises--The Role of Early Warning Systems : The Role of Early Warning Systems

Series: Occasional Papers

Author(s): Catherine Pattillo , Andrew Berg , Gian Milesi-Ferretti , and Eduardo Borensztein

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 24 January 2000

ISBN: 9781557758286

Keywords: currency crises, probability, balance of payments, contagion, currency crisis

The sudden collapse of exchange rate pegs in the absence of an immediate major change in economic fundamentals can seem a clear proof of irrationality in foreign exchange markets. An important contribution o...

Balance of Payments Anti-Crises

Balance of Payments Anti-Crises »

Volume/Issue: 2009/134

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Isabel Yan , and Michael Kumhof

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 2009

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451872811.001

ISBN: 9781451872811

Keywords: Balance of payments anti-crises, inflation dynamics, foreign exchange, exchange rate, inflation targeting,

Several emerging economies have, until recently, experienced large government surpluses and accelerating foreign exchange reserve accumulation. This has been accompanied by economic booms, exchange rate appreciatio...

Capital Inflows
			: Macroeconomic Implications and Policy Responses

Capital Inflows : Macroeconomic Implications and Policy Responses »

Volume/Issue: 2009/40

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Selim Elekdag , Ayhan Kose , and Roberto Cardarelli

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2009

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451871883.001

ISBN: 9781451871883

Keywords: crises, sterilization, exchange rate, private capital inflows, private capital,

This paper examines the macroeconomic implications of, and policy responses to surges in private capital inflows across a large group of emerging and advanced economies. In particular, we identify 109 episodes of l...

Current Account Reversals and Currency Crises
			: Empirical Regularities

Current Account Reversals and Currency Crises : Empirical Regularities »

Volume/Issue: 1998/89

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Gian Milesi-Ferretti , and Assaf Razin

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 1998

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451952421.001

ISBN: 9781451952421

Keywords: currency crisis, current account reversal, growth, real exchange rate, current account deficits, currency crises, current account balance, current account reversals

This paper studies large reductions in current account deficits and exchange rate depreciations in low- and middle-income countries. It examines which factors help predict the occurrence of a reversal or a currency...

Do Macroeconomic Effects of Capital Controls Vary by their Type? Evidence From Malaysia

Do Macroeconomic Effects of Capital Controls Vary by their Type? Evidence From Malaysia »

Volume/Issue: 2004/3

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Natalia Tamirisa

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 2004

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451841930.001

ISBN: 9781451841930

Keywords: exchange, controls, portfolio, flows, Asian crisis, capital controls, foreign currency, capital flows, foreign exchange, direct investment

This paper examines how the macroeconomic effects of capital controls vary depending on which type of international financial transaction they cover. Drawing on Malaysia's experiences in regulating the capital acco...

Do Some Forms of Financial Flows Help Protect From Sudden Stops?

Do Some Forms of Financial Flows Help Protect From Sudden Stops? »

Volume/Issue: 2006/202

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Paolo Mauro , and Andrei Levchenko

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 2006

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451864625.001

ISBN: 9781451864625

Keywords: crises, financial flows, fdi, direct investment, foreign investors, International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions, Financial Aspects of Economic Integration,

There is a debate on whether some forms of financial flows offer better crisis protection than others. Using a large panel of advanced, emerging, and developing countries during 1970-2003, this paper analyzes the b...

Financial Fragility and Economic Performance in Developing Economies
			: Do Capital Controls, Prudential Regulation and Supervision Matter?

Financial Fragility and Economic Performance in Developing Economies : Do Capital Controls, Prudential Regulation and Supervision Matter? »

Volume/Issue: 1999/66

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Marco Rossi

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 May 1999

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451848779.001

ISBN: 9781451848779

Keywords: Financial Crises, Capital Account Convertibility, Prudential Regulation, Supervision, Deposit Insurance, Economic Performance, banking, capital controls, capital account liberalization, capital inflows

Little empirical investigation exists of the links among capital account liberalization, prudential regulation and supervision, financial crises, and economic development, mainly because of the lack of comparable m...

Large Capital Flows
			: A Survey of the Causes, Consequences, and Policy Responses

Large Capital Flows : A Survey of the Causes, Consequences, and Policy Responses »

Volume/Issue: 1999/17

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Alejandro Lopez Mejia

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 February 1999

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451843514.001

ISBN: 9781451843514

Keywords: Capital Flows, Crises, Policy Responses, Survey, capital inflows, exchange rate, private capital flows, private capital

This paper reviews the causes, consequences, and policy responses to large capital flows in several emerging markets. It opens by studying recent patterns of capital flows, and then discusses the causes of capital...

Real Effects of Capital Inflows in Emerging Markets

Real Effects of Capital Inflows in Emerging Markets »

Volume/Issue: 2016/235

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Deniz Igan , Ali Kutan , and Ali Mirzae

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 06 December 2016

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475558555.001

ISBN: 9781475558555

Keywords: Financial crises, Industrial sector, Capital flows, Capital inflows, Economic growth, Emerging markets, financial dependence, industry growth, emerging economies, General

We examine the association between capital inflows and industry growth in a sample of 22 emerging market economies from 1998 to 2010. We expect more external finance dependent industries in countries that host more...

The New Economics of Capital Controls Imposed for Prudential Reasons+L4888

The New Economics of Capital Controls Imposed for Prudential Reasons+L4888 »

Volume/Issue: 2011/298

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Anton Korinek

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 2011

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781463927844.001

ISBN: 9781463927844

Keywords: financial crises, balance sheet effects, pecuniary externalities, capital controls, capital inflows, capital flows, domestic agents, New Economics of Capital Controls,

This paper provides an introduction to the new economics of prudential capital controls in emerging economies. This literature is based on the notion that there are externalities associated with financial crises be...