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Fiscal Monitor, April 2019

Curbing Corruption

The April 2019 edition of Fiscal Monitor is focused on two broad themes: fiscal policy in a fast-changing global economy and curbing corruption.

Global Financial Stability Report, April 2019

Vulnerabilities in a Maturing Credit Cycle

The April 2019 GFSR finds that despite significant variability over the past two quarters, financial conditions remain accommodative.

Capital Flows to EU New Member States
			: Does Sector Destination Matter?

Capital Flows to EU New Member States : Does Sector Destination Matter? »

Volume/Issue: 2011/67

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Pritha Mitra

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2011

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781455228034.001

ISBN: 9781455228034

Keywords: Crisis, and Slovak Republic., real estate, capital inflows, net capital flows, International Finance: General, Open Economy Macroeconomics, And Slovak Republic,

The recent boom-bust episode in Emerging Europe was largely the product of surges and sudden stops in capital inflows. This paper empirically argues that the sectors into which capital flows determines their impact...

Challenging the Empirical Evidence From Present Value Models of the Current Account

Challenging the Empirical Evidence From Present Value Models of the Current Account »

Volume/Issue: 2004/106

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Jacques Miniane , and Benoît Mercereau

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 2004

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451852929.001

ISBN: 9781451852929

Keywords: present value model, model evaluation, correlation, probability, covariance, statistic, Bayesian Analysis, Model Evaluation and Selection, Open Economy Macroeconomics,

Under near-singularity conditions typically generated by persistence in current account data the predictions of present value models become extremely sensitive to small sample estimation error. Moreover, traditiona...

Consumption-Based Interest Rate and the Present-Value Model of the Current Account-Evidence from Nigeria

Consumption-Based Interest Rate and the Present-Value Model of the Current Account-Evidence from Nigeria »

Volume/Issue: 2001/93

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Olumuyiwa Adedeji

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 August 2001

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451851656.001

ISBN: 9781451851656

Keywords: Present-value model, consumption-based interest rate, current account, current account balance, current accounts, external shocks, balance of payments, Open Economy Macroeconomics,

This paper presents a model of current account determination, based upon the permanent-income hypothesis. A present-value relationship among the current account, changes in net output, the exchange rate and the ter...

Current Account and Real Exchange Rate Dynamics in the G-7 Countries

Current Account and Real Exchange Rate Dynamics in the G-7 Countries »

Volume/Issue: 2002/130

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Menzie Chinn , and Jaewoo Lee

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 August 2002

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451855203.001

ISBN: 9781451855203

Keywords: real exchange rate, intertemporal models, permanent and temporary shocks, exchange rate, current account balance, exchange rates, Open Economy Macroeconomics,

The canonical predictions of intertemporal open-economy macro models are tested by a structural VAR analysis of Group of Seven countries. The analysis is distinguished from the previous literature in that it adopts...

Current Account Developments in New Member States of the European Union
			: Equilibrium, Excess, and EU-Phoria

Current Account Developments in New Member States of the European Union : Equilibrium, Excess, and EU-Phoria »

Volume/Issue: 2008/92

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Jesmin Rahman

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 April 2008

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451869538.001

ISBN: 9781451869538

Keywords: Current account norm, macroeconomic balance approach, fdi, investment climate, transition economies, exchange rate regime

This paper analyzes current account (CA) developments in the following 10 new EU members states: Czech Republic, Bulgaria, Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Romania, Slovakia and Slovenia. During the las...

Current Account Norms in Natural Resource Rich and Capital Scarce Economies

Current Account Norms in Natural Resource Rich and Capital Scarce Economies »

Volume/Issue: 2013/80

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Juliana Araujo , Bin Li , Marcos Poplawski-Ribeiro , and Luis-Felipe Zanna

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 27 March 2013

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484396032.001

ISBN: 9781484396032

Keywords: External Sustainability, Developing Economies, current account balances, current account balance, current account deficits, current account surpluses, Open Economy Macroeconomics, Cooperative Enterprises,

The permanent income hypothesis implies that frictionless open economies with exhaustible natural resources should save abroad most of their resource windfalls and, therefore, feature current account surpluses. Res...

Current Account Rebalancing and Real Exchange Rate Adjustment Between the U.S. and Emerging Asia

Current Account Rebalancing and Real Exchange Rate Adjustment Between the U.S. and Emerging Asia »

Volume/Issue: 2011/46

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Damiano Sandri , Pau Rabanal , and Isabelle Mejean

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2011

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781455218967.001

ISBN: 9781455218967

Keywords: Rebalancing, Intermediate Inputs, terms of trade, tradable goods, exchange rate, export prices, Open Economy Macroeconomics, Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance: Forecasting and Simulation,

A reduction in the U.S. current account deficit vis-à-vis emerging Asia involves a shift in demand from U.S. to emerging Asia tradable goods and a change in international relative prices. This paper quantifies the...

Determinants of Remittances
			: Evidence From tonga

Determinants of Remittances : Evidence From tonga »

Volume/Issue: 2011/18

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Huidan Lin

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 2011

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781455211975.001

ISBN: 9781455211975

Keywords: exchange rate, real effective exchange rate, effective exchange rate, International Factor Movements and International Business: General, Economic Growth of Open Economies,

This paper analyzes the determinants of remittances to Tonga. The results indicate that macroeconomic conditions in remitting countries and exchange rate fluctuations influence remittances. In particular, remittanc...

Do IMF-Supported Programs Boost Private Capital Inflows? the Role of Program Size and Policy Adjustment

Do IMF-Supported Programs Boost Private Capital Inflows? the Role of Program Size and Policy Adjustment »

Volume/Issue: 2003/231

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Roberto Benelli

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 November 2003

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451875553.001

ISBN: 9781451875553

Keywords: Success of IMF programs, policy adjustment under programs, private capital, private capital flows, capital flows, capital inflows, private capital inflows, International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions, International Lending and Debt Problems, Open Economy Macroeconomics,

I analyze empirically whether program size (the size of financial assistance) and policy adjustment matter for the success of IMF-supported programs. I define a program as successful if the initial program projecti...

Economic Policies and FDI Inflows to Emerging Market Economies

Economic Policies and FDI Inflows to Emerging Market Economies »

Volume/Issue: 2011/192

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Elif Arbatli

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 August 2011

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781462306251.001

ISBN: 9781462306251

Keywords: FDI, Emerging Market Economies, Economic Policies, direct investment, foreign direct investment, corporate tax, corporate tax rates, International Factor Movements And International Business,

This paper investigates the determinants of FDI inflows to emerging market economies, concentrating on the effects of economic policies. The empirical analysis also addresses the role of external push factors and o...