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Anticipating Balance of Payments Crises--The Role of Early Warning Systems
			: The Role of Early Warning Systems

Anticipating Balance of Payments Crises--The Role of Early Warning Systems : The Role of Early Warning Systems »

Series: Occasional Papers

Author(s): Catherine Pattillo , Andrew Berg , Gian Milesi-Ferretti , and Eduardo Borensztein

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 24 January 2000

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781557758286.084

ISBN: 9781557758286

Keywords: currency crises, probability, balance of payments, contagion, currency crisis

Recent years have witnessed an increase in the frequency of currency and balance of payments crises in developing countries. More important, the crises have become more virulent, have caused widespread disruption t...

Appendix II. Behavior of Different Types of Financial Flow

Appendix II. Behavior of Different Types of Financial Flow »

Source: Country Insurance : The Role of Domestic Policies

Series: Occasional Papers

Author(s): Paolo Mauro , Torbjorn Becker , Jonathan Ostry , Romain Ranciere , and Olivier Jeanne

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 10 April 2007

ISBN: 9781589066076

Keywords: Insurance supervision, Insurance legislation, Insurance regulations, bonds, international reserves, domestic currency, currency crises, international financial

Data Description This appendix analyzes data on the financial account and six of its components—foreign direct investment (FDI); portfolio debt investment (PDI); portfolio equity inv...

Balance of Payments Anti-Crises

Balance of Payments Anti-Crises »

Source: Balance of Payments Anti-Crises

Volume/Issue: 2009/134

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Isabel Yan , and Michael Kumhof

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 2009

ISBN: 9781451872811

Keywords: Balance of payments anti-crises, inflation dynamics, foreign exchange, exchange rate, inflation targeting,

Several emerging economies have, until recently, experienced large government surpluses and accelerating foreign exchange reserve accumulation. This has been accompanied by economic booms, exchange rate appreciatio...

Capital Flows to Brazil: The Endogeneity of Capital Controls

Capital Flows to Brazil: The Endogeneity of Capital Controls »

Source: IMF Staff papers, Volume 45 No. 1

Volume: 45

Series: IMF Staff Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 1998

ISBN: 9781451974515

Keywords: exchange rate, real exchange, real exchange rate, currency crises, interest rates

This paper analyzes some leading indicators of currency crises, and proposes a specific early warning system. This system involves monitoring the evolution of several indicators that tend to exhibit an unusual beha...

Capital Inflows

Capital Inflows »

Source: Capital Inflows : Macroeconomic Implications and Policy Responses

Volume/Issue: 2009/40

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Selim Elekdag , Ayhan Kose , and Roberto Cardarelli

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2009

ISBN: 9781451871883

Keywords: crises, sterilization, exchange rate, private capital inflows, private capital,

This paper examines the macroeconomic implications of, and policy responses to surges in private capital inflows across a large group of emerging and advanced economies. In particular, we identify 109 episodes of l...

23. Capital Inflows, Exchange Rate Management, and Capital Controls

23. Capital Inflows, Exchange Rate Management, and Capital Controls »

Source: Progress and Confusion : The State of Macroeconomic Policy

Series: Books

Publisher: The MIT Press

Publication Date: 29 April 2016

ISBN: 9780262034623

Keywords: Economic policy, Financial stability, Financial risk, Exchange rate management, Capital flows, Macroprudential Policy, Monetary Policy, Fiscal Policy, Financial Crises, Macroeconomics; capital flows;

A discussion of the interaction between capital inflows, exchange rate management, and capital controls is quite timely. However, it is by no means a new discussion. The interactions between and among these...

Current Account Reversals and Currency Crises

Current Account Reversals and Currency Crises »

Source: Current Account Reversals and Currency Crises : Empirical Regularities

Volume/Issue: 1998/89

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Gian Milesi-Ferretti , and Assaf Razin

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 1998

ISBN: 9781451952421

Keywords: currency crisis, current account reversal, growth, real exchange rate, current account deficits, currency crises, current account balance, current account reversals

This paper studies large reductions in current account deficits and exchange rate depreciations in low- and middle-income countries. It examines which factors help predict the occurrence of a reversal or a currency...

Do Macroeconomic Effects of Capital Controls Vary by their Type? Evidence From Malaysia

Do Macroeconomic Effects of Capital Controls Vary by their Type? Evidence From Malaysia »

Source: Do Macroeconomic Effects of Capital Controls Vary by their Type? Evidence From Malaysia

Volume/Issue: 2004/3

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Natalia Tamirisa

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 2004

ISBN: 9781451841930

Keywords: exchange, controls, portfolio, flows, Asian crisis, capital controls, foreign currency, capital flows, foreign exchange, direct investment

This paper examines how the macroeconomic effects of capital controls vary depending on which type of international financial transaction they cover. Drawing on Malaysia's experiences in regulating the capital acco...

Do Some Forms of Financial Flows Help Protect From Sudden Stops?

Do Some Forms of Financial Flows Help Protect From Sudden Stops? »

Source: Do Some Forms of Financial Flows Help Protect From Sudden Stops?

Volume/Issue: 2006/202

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Paolo Mauro , and Andrei Levchenko

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 2006

ISBN: 9781451864625

Keywords: crises, financial flows, fdi, direct investment, foreign investors, International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions, Financial Aspects of Economic Integration,

There is a debate on whether some forms of financial flows offer better crisis protection than others. Using a large panel of advanced, emerging, and developing countries during 1970-2003, this paper analyzes the b...