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Global Financial Stability Report, April 2019

Vulnerabilities in a Maturing Credit Cycle

The April 2019 GFSR finds that despite significant variability over the past two quarters, financial conditions remain accommodative.

Consumption-Based Interest Rate and the Present-Value Model of the Current Account-Evidence from Nigeria

Consumption-Based Interest Rate and the Present-Value Model of the Current Account-Evidence from Nigeria »

Source: Consumption-Based Interest Rate and the Present-Value Model of the Current Account-Evidence from Nigeria

Volume/Issue: 2001/93

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Olumuyiwa Adedeji

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 August 2001

ISBN: 9781451851656

Keywords: Present-value model, consumption-based interest rate, current account, current account balance, current accounts, external shocks, balance of payments, Open Economy Macroeconomics,

This paper presents a model of current account determination, based upon the permanent-income hypothesis. A present-value relationship among the current account, changes in net output, the exchange rate and the ter...

Current Account and Real Exchange Rate Dynamics in the G-7 Countries

Current Account and Real Exchange Rate Dynamics in the G-7 Countries »

Source: Current Account and Real Exchange Rate Dynamics in the G-7 Countries

Volume/Issue: 2002/130

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Menzie Chinn , and Jaewoo Lee

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 August 2002

ISBN: 9781451855203

Keywords: real exchange rate, intertemporal models, permanent and temporary shocks, exchange rate, current account balance, exchange rates, Open Economy Macroeconomics,

The canonical predictions of intertemporal open-economy macro models are tested by a structural VAR analysis of Group of Seven countries. The analysis is distinguished from the previous literature in that it adopts...

Current Account Norms in Natural Resource Rich and Capital Scarce Economies

Current Account Norms in Natural Resource Rich and Capital Scarce Economies »

Source: Current Account Norms in Natural Resource Rich and Capital Scarce Economies

Volume/Issue: 2013/80

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Juliana Araujo , Bin Li , Marcos Poplawski-Ribeiro , and Luis-Felipe Zanna

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 27 March 2013

ISBN: 9781484396032

Keywords: External Sustainability, Developing Economies, current account balances, current account balance, current account deficits, current account surpluses, Open Economy Macroeconomics, Cooperative Enterprises,

The permanent income hypothesis implies that frictionless open economies with exhaustible natural resources should save abroad most of their resource windfalls and, therefore, feature current account surpluses. Res...

Current Account Rebalancing and Real Exchange Rate Adjustment Between the U.S. and Emerging Asia1

Current Account Rebalancing and Real Exchange Rate Adjustment Between the U.S. and Emerging Asia1 »

Source: Current Account Rebalancing and Real Exchange Rate Adjustment Between the U.S. and Emerging Asia

Volume/Issue: 2011/46

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Damiano Sandri , Pau Rabanal , and Isabelle Mejean

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2011

ISBN: 9781455218967

Keywords: Rebalancing, Intermediate Inputs, terms of trade, tradable goods, exchange rate, export prices, Open Economy Macroeconomics, Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance: Forecasting and Simulation,

A reduction in the U.S. current account deficit vis-à-vis emerging Asia involves a shift in demand from U.S. to emerging Asia tradable goods and a change in international relative prices. This paper quantifies the...

Determinants of Remittances

Determinants of Remittances »

Source: Determinants of Remittances : Evidence From tonga

Volume/Issue: 2011/18

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Huidan Lin

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 2011

ISBN: 9781455211975

Keywords: exchange rate, real effective exchange rate, effective exchange rate, International Factor Movements and International Business: General, Economic Growth of Open Economies,

This paper analyzes the determinants of remittances to Tonga. The results indicate that macroeconomic conditions in remitting countries and exchange rate fluctuations influence remittances. In particular, remittanc...

Effectiveness of Capital Outflow Restrictions

Effectiveness of Capital Outflow Restrictions »

Source: Effectiveness of Capital Outflow Restrictions

Volume/Issue: 2014/8

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Christian Saborowski , Sarah Sanya , Hans Weisfeld , and Juan Yepez

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 21 January 2014

ISBN: 9781484379752

Keywords: Emerging economies, capital outflow, capital flow, net capital, General, Globalization: Finance,

This paper examines the effectiveness of capital outflow restrictions in a sample of 37 emerging market economies during the period 1995-2010, using a panel vector autoregression approach with interaction terms. Sp...

The Effects of Capital Controls on Exchange Rate Volatility and Output

The Effects of Capital Controls on Exchange Rate Volatility and Output »

Source: The Effects of Capital Controls on Exchange Rate Volatility and Output

Volume/Issue: 2001/187

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Christiane Nickel , Günter Schmidt , Georg Stadtmann , and Michael Frenkel

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 November 2001

ISBN: 9781451859515

Keywords: exchange rate, capital control, capital inflows, foreign exchange, Open Economy Macroeconomics,

This paper extends the Dornbusch model of overshooting exchange rates to discuss both exchange rate and output effects of capital controls that involve additional costs for international asset transactions. We show...

Exchange Rate Flexibility and Credit during Capital Inflow Reversals

Exchange Rate Flexibility and Credit during Capital Inflow Reversals »

Source: Exchange Rate Flexibility and Credit during Capital Inflow Reversals : Purgatory…not Paradise

Volume/Issue: 2014/61

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Nicolas Magud , and Esteban Vesperoni

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 16 April 2014

ISBN: 9781475543735

Keywords: reversals, macro-prudential, exchange rate, exchange rate regimes, exchange rate flexibility, flexible exchange rate, exchange rate regime, Open Economy Macroeconomics,

We document the behavior of macro and credit variables during episodes of capital inflows reversals in economies with different degrees of exchange rate flexibility. We find that exchange rate flexibility is associ...

Financial Regulation and the Current Account

Financial Regulation and the Current Account »

Source: Financial Regulation and the Current Account

Volume/Issue: 2012/98

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Tomasz Wieladek , and Sergi Lanau

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 April 2012

ISBN: 9781475502886

Keywords: financial regulation, panel VAR, capital account, capital account openness, current account deficit, current account imbalances, Open Economy Macroeconomics, Financial Institutions and Services: Government Policy and Regulation,

This paper examines the relationship between financial regulation and the current account in an intertemporal model of the current account where financial regulation affects the current account through liquidity co...

If the Fed Acts, How Do You React? The Liftoff Effect on Capital Flows

If the Fed Acts, How Do You React? The Liftoff Effect on Capital Flows »

Source: If the Fed Acts, How Do You React? The Liftoff Effect on Capital Flows

Volume/Issue: 2015/256

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Swarnali Ahmed

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 09 December 2015

ISBN: 9781498367196

Keywords: Fed liftoffs, policy responses, policy framework, emerging market economies, interest, market, portfolio, interest rate, Monetary Policy (Targets, Instruments

After more than six years of ultra-low interest rates, a Fed liftoff (rate hike) is just a matter of time. This paper goes back to history to understand the spillover effect - or what is termed in the paper as the...