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Current Accounts in a Currency Union

Current Accounts in a Currency Union »

Volume/Issue: 2009/127

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Jörg Decressin , and Emil Stavrev

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 2009

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451872743.001

ISBN: 9781451872743

Keywords: currency union, EMU, real exchange rate, exchange rate, current accounts, current account balance,

A fear about EMU was that in the absence of national currencies, country-specific shocks would result in greater current account divergences between member states. This paper finds that divergences across euro-area...

Challenging the Empirical Evidence From Present Value Models of the Current Account

Challenging the Empirical Evidence From Present Value Models of the Current Account »

Volume/Issue: 2004/106

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Jacques Miniane , and Benoît Mercereau

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 2004

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451852929.001

ISBN: 9781451852929

Keywords: present value model, model evaluation, correlation, probability, covariance, statistic, Bayesian Analysis, Model Evaluation and Selection, Open Economy Macroeconomics,

Under near-singularity conditions typically generated by persistence in current account data the predictions of present value models become extremely sensitive to small sample estimation error. Moreover, traditiona...

Economic Effects and Structural Determinants of Capital Controls

Economic Effects and Structural Determinants of Capital Controls »

Volume/Issue: 1995/31

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Vittorio Grilli , and Gian Milesi-Ferretti

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 1995

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451844993.001

ISBN: 9781451844993

Keywords: capital controls, foreign exchange, real interest rates, capital mobility

This paper studies determinants and effects of capital controls using a panel of 61 developed and developing countries. The results suggest that capital account restrictions are more likely to be in place in countr...