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Regional Economic Outlook, October 2018, Asia Pacific

Asia at the Forefront: Growth Challenges for the Next Decade and Beyond

Growth in the first half of 2018 was softer than in 2017, especially in advanced economies.

The ASEAN Way

Sustaining Growth and Stability

The ASEAN Way: Sustaining Growth and Stability

Capital Controls or Macroprudential Regulation?

Capital Controls or Macroprudential Regulation? »

Volume/Issue: 2015/218

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Anton Korinek , and Damiano Sandri

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 October 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513506463.001

ISBN: 9781513506463

Keywords: pecuniary externalities, macroprudential regulation, inequality, exchange rate, exchange, lenders, borrowers, markets, International Lending and Debt Problems, Open Economy Macroeconomics

International capital flows can create significant financial instability in emerging economies because of pecuniary externalities associated with exchange rate movements. Does this make it optimal to impose capital...

Can Foreign Exchange Intervention Stem Exchange Rate Pressures from Global Capital Flow Shocks?

Can Foreign Exchange Intervention Stem Exchange Rate Pressures from Global Capital Flow Shocks? »

Volume/Issue: 2015/159

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Olivier Blanchard , Gustavo Adler , and Irineu de Carvalho Filho

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 16 July 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513585840.001

ISBN: 9781513585840

Keywords: exchange rate, gross capital flows, exchange, market, General,

Many emerging market economies have relied on foreign exchange intervention (FXI) in response to gross capital inflows. In this paper, we study whether FXI has been an effective tool to dampen the effects of these...

Push Factors and Capital Flows to Emerging Markets
			: Why Knowing Your Lender Matters More Than Fundamentals

Push Factors and Capital Flows to Emerging Markets : Why Knowing Your Lender Matters More Than Fundamentals »

Volume/Issue: 2015/127

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Eugenio Cerutti , Stijn Claessens , and Damien Puy

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 22 June 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513526638.001

ISBN: 9781513526638

Keywords: Push factors, global banks, markets, portfolio, Financial Aspects of Economic Integration, Portfolio Choice,

This paper analyzes the behavior of gross capital inflows across 34 emerging markets (EMs). We first confirm that aggregate inflows to EMs co-move considerably. We then report three findings: (i) the aggregate co-m...

The Effectiveness of Monetary Policy Transmission Under Capital Inflows
			: Evidence from Asia

The Effectiveness of Monetary Policy Transmission Under Capital Inflows : Evidence from Asia »

Volume/Issue: 2012/265

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Sonali Jain-Chandra , and Filiz Unsal

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 02 November 2012

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475525823.001

ISBN: 9781475525823

Keywords: Monetary policy transmission, dynamic factor model, structural VAR, long-term interest rates, bond yields, Monetary Policy (Targets, Instruments, and Effects), Open Economy Macroeconomics,

The effectiveness of the monetary policy transmission mechanism in open economies could be impaired if interest rates are driven primarily by global factors, especially during periods of large capital inflows. The...

Workers' Remittances
			: An Overlooked Channel of International Business Cycle Transmission?

Workers' Remittances : An Overlooked Channel of International Business Cycle Transmission? »

Volume/Issue: 2012/251

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Adolfo Barajas , Ralph Chami , Christian Ebeke , and Sampawende Tapsoba

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 19 October 2012

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475535822.001

ISBN: 9781475535822

Keywords: Business Cycle Synchronization, remittance, business cycle, remittance flows, Financial Aspects of Economic Integration, Open Economy Macroeconomics,

This paper shows that remittance flows significantly increase the business cycle synchronization between remittance-recipient countries and the rest of the world. Using both aggregate and bilateral remittances data...

Surging Capital Flows to Emerging Asia
			: Facts, Impacts, and Responses

Surging Capital Flows to Emerging Asia : Facts, Impacts, and Responses »

Volume/Issue: 2012/130

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Sylwia Nowak , Sanjaya Panth , Ravi Balakrishnan , and Yiqun Wu

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 May 2012

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475503821.001

ISBN: 9781475503821

Keywords: capital flows, net capital flows, net capital, private capital flows, Financial Institutions and Services: Government Policy and Regulation,

Net capital flows to emerging Asia rebounded at a record pace following the global financial crisis, raising concerns about overheating and financial stability. This paper documents the size and composition of the...

The New Economics of Capital Controls Imposed for Prudential Reasons+L4888

The New Economics of Capital Controls Imposed for Prudential Reasons+L4888 »

Volume/Issue: 2011/298

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Anton Korinek

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 2011

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781463927844.001

ISBN: 9781463927844

Keywords: financial crises, balance sheet effects, pecuniary externalities, capital controls, capital inflows, capital flows, domestic agents, New Economics of Capital Controls,

This paper provides an introduction to the new economics of prudential capital controls in emerging economies. This literature is based on the notion that there are externalities associated with financial crises be...

Policy Responses to Capital Flows in Emerging Markets

Policy Responses to Capital Flows in Emerging Markets »

Volume/Issue: 2011/10

Series: Staff Discussion Notes

Author(s): Mahmood Pradhan , Ravi Balakrishnan , Reza Baqir , Geoffrey Heenan , Sylwia Nowak , Ceyda Oner , and Sanjaya Panth

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 20 April 2011

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781463935122.006

ISBN: 9781463935122

Keywords: Emerging markets, Capital flows, Macroeconomic policies, Macroprudential policies, capital inflows, bond, bond yields, bonds,

Staff Discussion Notes showcase the latest policy-related analysis and research being developed by individual IMF staff and are published to elicit comment and to further debate. These papers are generally brief an...

International Capital Flows and Development
			: Financial Openness Matters

International Capital Flows and Development : Financial Openness Matters »

Volume/Issue: 2010/235

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Luca Ricci , Thierry Tressel , and Dennis B. S. Reinhardt

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 October 2010

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781455209354.001

ISBN: 9781455209354

Keywords: Lucas paradox, financial openness, capital inflows, capital account openness, Financial Aspects of Economic Integration, Economic Growth And Aggregate Productivity,

Does capital flow from rich to poor countries? We revisit the Lucas paradox and explore the role of capital account restrictions in shaping capital flows at various stages of economic development. We find that, whe...

Capital Flows and Economic Fluctuations
			: The Role of Commercial Banks in Transmitting Shocks

Capital Flows and Economic Fluctuations : The Role of Commercial Banks in Transmitting Shocks »

Volume/Issue: 2008/12

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Yong Sarah Zhou

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 2008

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451868746.001

ISBN: 9781451868746

Keywords: banking, capital inflows, bank lending

This paper uses a general equilibrium model to examine the central role played by commercial banks in intermediating and amplifying the capital flow shocks to the local economy in the 1997 Asia financial crisis. It...