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The Role of Stock Markets in Current Account Dynamics

The Role of Stock Markets in Current Account Dynamics »

Source: The Role of Stock Markets in Current Account Dynamics : Evidence from the United States

Volume/Issue: 2003/108

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Benoît Mercereau

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 May 2003

ISBN: 9781451853124

Keywords: fundamental equation, U.S. data, current account deficit, current account dynamics, current account deficits, current account surplus,

This paper tests a model of the role of stock markets in current account dynamics, developed in a companion paper. With U.S. data, the model performs better than the same model without stock markets. An insight giv...

Macroeconomic Uncertainty, Precautionary Savings and the Current Account

Macroeconomic Uncertainty, Precautionary Savings and the Current Account »

Volume/Issue: 1992/72

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Jonathan Ostry , and Atish Ghosh

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 1992

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451959048.001

ISBN: 9781451959048

Keywords: current account surplus, current account surpluses, current accounts

The relationship between current account developments and changes in the macroeconomic environment remains a key issue in open economy macroeconomics. This paper extends the standard intertemporal optimizing model...

Growth Following Investment and Consumption-Driven Current Account Crises

Growth Following Investment and Consumption-Driven Current Account Crises »

Volume/Issue: 2013/217

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Alexander Klemm

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 23 October 2013

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484321898.001

ISBN: 9781484321898

Keywords: current account deficit, current accounts, current account surpluses

Current account deficits imply increasing liabilities to the rest of the world. External sustainability then depends on whether these can be met in the future without defaulting, i.e., normally through trade accoun...

Current Account and Precautionary Savings for Exporters of Exhaustible Resources

Current Account and Precautionary Savings for Exporters of Exhaustible Resources »

Volume/Issue: 2009/33

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Rudolfs Bems , and Irineu de Carvalho Filho

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 February 2009

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451871807.001

ISBN: 9781451871807

Keywords: resources, current account balance, current account balances, current account surpluses

Exporters of exhaustible resources have historically exhibited higher income volatility than other economies, suggesting a heightened role for precautionary savings. This paper uses a parameterized small open econo...

Demographics, Old-Age Transfers and the Current Account1

Demographics, Old-Age Transfers and the Current Account1 »

Source: Demographics, Old-Age Transfers and the Current Account

Volume/Issue: 2018/264

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Mai Chi Dao , and Callum Jones

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 07 December 2018

ISBN: 9781484385906

Keywords: Pensions, Demographic indicators, Current account balances, Current account surpluses, Capital flows, Aging, Demographics, Current Account Flows, External Imbalances, General

Building on the evolving literature on the topic, this paper reviews the relationship between demographics and long-run capital flows in both theory and in the data. For this purpose, we develop a two region overla...

(Why) Should Current Account Balances Be Reduced?

(Why) Should Current Account Balances Be Reduced? »

Source: (Why) Should Current Account Balances Be Reduced?

Volume/Issue: 2011/3

Series: Staff Discussion Notes

Author(s): Gian Milesi-Ferretti , and Olivier Blanchard

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 02 March 2011

ISBN: 9781462384860

Keywords: global imbalances, current account, exchange rates, current account deficits, current account surpluses, exchange rate, current account deficit, Account Balances Be Reduced?,

Staff Discussion Notes showcase the latest policy-related analysis and research being developed by individual IMF staff and are published to elicit comment and to further debate. These papers are generally brief an...

The Effects of Currency Substitutionon the Response of the Current Account to Supply Shocks

The Effects of Currency Substitutionon the Response of the Current Account to Supply Shocks »

Source: The Effects of Currency Substitutionon the Response of the Current Account to Supply Shocks

Volume/Issue: 1988/5

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 1988

ISBN: 9781451929454

Keywords: current account, balance of payments, oil shock, current account surplus, oil prices

Standard real models predict that a permanent increase in oil prices would result in a current account surplus. This is due to the fact that investment falls while saving remains unchanged. This paper shows that if...

Current Account Norms in Natural Resource Rich and Capital Scarce Economies

Current Account Norms in Natural Resource Rich and Capital Scarce Economies »

Source: Current Account Norms in Natural Resource Rich and Capital Scarce Economies

Volume/Issue: 2013/80

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Juliana Araujo , Bin Li , Marcos Poplawski-Ribeiro , and Luis-Felipe Zanna

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 27 March 2013

ISBN: 9781484396032

Keywords: External Sustainability, Developing Economies, current account balances, current account balance, current account deficits, current account surpluses, Open Economy Macroeconomics, Cooperative Enterprises,

The permanent income hypothesis implies that frictionless open economies with exhaustible natural resources should save abroad most of their resource windfalls and, therefore, feature current account surpluses. Res...

Consumption Smoothing and the Current Account
			: Evidence for France, 1970-1994

Consumption Smoothing and the Current Account : Evidence for France, 1970-1994 »

Volume/Issue: 1995/119

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Claude Bismut , Paul Cashin , C. McDermott , and Pierre-Richard Agénor

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 November 1995

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451940237.001

ISBN: 9781451940237

Keywords: current account balance, current account surplus, current account deficit, current account surpluses

This paper estimates a simple consumption-smoothing model of the French current account, and examines its capacity to predict recent developments in France’s external performance. The model views the current...

Current Account Deficits in Rich Countries

Current Account Deficits in Rich Countries »

Source: IMF Staff Papers, Volume 54, No. 2

Volume: 54

Series: IMF Staff Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 26 September 2007

ISBN: 9781589066502

Keywords: current account, current account deficit, current account deficits, current account surplus, current account surpluses, Benchmarking (finance), Bond Market, Business Cycles. Econometric Models, Consumption (economics), Default (finance)

Vol. 54, No. 2 includes three notable contributions from the Seventh Jacques Polak Annual Research Conference (ARC) hosted by the IMF in November 2006. Its lead paper, by Olivier Blanchard of Harvard University, is...