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Do Capital Flows Reflect Economic Fundamentals in Developing Countries?

Do Capital Flows Reflect Economic Fundamentals in Developing Countries? »

Volume/Issue: 1993/34

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Atish Ghosh , and Jonathan Ostry

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 April 1993

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451978827.001

ISBN: 9781451978827

Keywords: current account, current account deficit, current account balances, current account surplus, debt crisis

This paper proposes a methodology for testing whether capital flows to developing countries are determined by economic fundamentals or by purely speculative forces. We use the intertemporal optimizing approach to c...

Current Account Imbalances
			: Can Structural Policies Make a Difference?

Current Account Imbalances : Can Structural Policies Make a Difference? »

Volume/Issue: 2012/61

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Anna Ivanova

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 February 2012

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781463937799.001

ISBN: 9781463937799

Keywords: structural policies, imbalances, current account balance, current accounts, current account surplus,

The discussion of global and regional imbalances has put the spotlight on the possible link between current accounts and structural policies. Drawing on standard empirical current account models, the paper finds th...

The Role of Stock Markets in Current Account Dynamics
			: Evidence from the United States

The Role of Stock Markets in Current Account Dynamics : Evidence from the United States »

Volume/Issue: 2003/108

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Benoît Mercereau

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 May 2003

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451853124.001

ISBN: 9781451853124

Keywords: fundamental equation, U.S. data, current account deficit, current account dynamics, current account deficits, current account surplus,

This paper tests a model of the role of stock markets in current account dynamics, developed in a companion paper. With U.S. data, the model performs better than the same model without stock markets. An insight giv...

Demographics, Old-Age Transfers and the Current Account

Demographics, Old-Age Transfers and the Current Account »

Volume/Issue: 2018/264

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Mai Chi Dao , and Callum Jones

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 07 December 2018

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484385906.001

ISBN: 9781484385906

Keywords: Pensions, Demographic indicators, Current account balances, Current account surpluses, Capital flows, Aging, Demographics, Current Account Flows, External Imbalances, General

Building on the evolving literature on the topic, this paper reviews the relationship between demographics and long-run capital flows in both theory and in the data. For this purpose, we develop a two region overla...

The Effects of Currency Substitutionon the Response of the Current Account to Supply Shocks

The Effects of Currency Substitutionon the Response of the Current Account to Supply Shocks »

Volume/Issue: 1988/5

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 1988

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451929454.001

ISBN: 9781451929454

Keywords: current account, balance of payments, oil shock, current account surplus, oil prices

Standard real models predict that a permanent increase in oil prices would result in a current account surplus. This is due to the fact that investment falls while saving remains unchanged. This paper shows that if...

Current Account Norms in Natural Resource Rich and Capital Scarce Economies

Current Account Norms in Natural Resource Rich and Capital Scarce Economies »

Volume/Issue: 2013/80

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Juliana Araujo , Bin Li , Marcos Poplawski-Ribeiro , and Luis-Felipe Zanna

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 27 March 2013

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484396032.001

ISBN: 9781484396032

Keywords: External Sustainability, Developing Economies, current account balances, current account balance, current account deficits, current account surpluses, Open Economy Macroeconomics, Cooperative Enterprises,

The permanent income hypothesis implies that frictionless open economies with exhaustible natural resources should save abroad most of their resource windfalls and, therefore, feature current account surpluses. Res...