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Growth Following Investment and Consumption-Driven Current Account Crises

Growth Following Investment and Consumption-Driven Current Account Crises »

Volume/Issue: 2013/217

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Alexander Klemm

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 23 October 2013

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484321898.001

ISBN: 9781484321898

Keywords: current account deficit, current accounts, current account surpluses

Current account deficits imply increasing liabilities to the rest of the world. External sustainability then depends on whether these can be met in the future without defaulting, i.e., normally through trade accoun...

The Significance of the Current Account
			: Implications of European Financial Integration

The Significance of the Current Account : Implications of European Financial Integration »

Volume/Issue: 1990/30

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Lazaros Molho

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 April 1990

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451980196.001

ISBN: 9781451980196

Keywords: current account deficits, current account deficit, current account balance, current account surplus

This paper reasseses the significance of persistent current imbalances as they become easier to finance in the process of European integration. After highlighting some limitations of simple saving-investment guidel...

Do Capital Flows Reflect Economic Fundamentals in Developing Countries?

Do Capital Flows Reflect Economic Fundamentals in Developing Countries? »

Volume/Issue: 1993/34

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Atish Ghosh , and Jonathan Ostry

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 April 1993

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451978827.001

ISBN: 9781451978827

Keywords: current account, current account deficit, current account balances, current account surplus, debt crisis

This paper proposes a methodology for testing whether capital flows to developing countries are determined by economic fundamentals or by purely speculative forces. We use the intertemporal optimizing approach to c...

Current Account Dynamics
			: The Role of Real Shocks

Current Account Dynamics : The Role of Real Shocks »

Volume/Issue: 1989/80

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 28 September 1989

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451955378.001

ISBN: 9781451955378

Keywords: current account, current account surplus, current account position, current account dynamics

This paper demonstrates how a full-blown optimizing model of the dynamics of the current account can be reduced to a small-scale collection of reduced-form relations capable of implementing a rich set of macro-econ...

Current Account Imbalances
			: Can Structural Policies Make a Difference?

Current Account Imbalances : Can Structural Policies Make a Difference? »

Volume/Issue: 2012/61

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Anna Ivanova

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 February 2012

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781463937799.001

ISBN: 9781463937799

Keywords: structural policies, imbalances, current account balance, current accounts, current account surplus,

The discussion of global and regional imbalances has put the spotlight on the possible link between current accounts and structural policies. Drawing on standard empirical current account models, the paper finds th...

The Role of Stock Markets in Current Account Dynamics
			: Evidence from the United States

The Role of Stock Markets in Current Account Dynamics : Evidence from the United States »

Volume/Issue: 2003/108

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Benoît Mercereau

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 May 2003

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451853124.001

ISBN: 9781451853124

Keywords: fundamental equation, U.S. data, current account deficit, current account dynamics, current account deficits, current account surplus,

This paper tests a model of the role of stock markets in current account dynamics, developed in a companion paper. With U.S. data, the model performs better than the same model without stock markets. An insight giv...

The Effects of Currency Substitutionon the Response of the Current Account to Supply Shocks

The Effects of Currency Substitutionon the Response of the Current Account to Supply Shocks »

Volume/Issue: 1988/5

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 1988

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451929454.001

ISBN: 9781451929454

Keywords: current account, balance of payments, oil shock, current account surplus, oil prices

Standard real models predict that a permanent increase in oil prices would result in a current account surplus. This is due to the fact that investment falls while saving remains unchanged. This paper shows that if...

Demographics, Old-Age Transfers and the Current Account

Demographics, Old-Age Transfers and the Current Account »

Volume/Issue: 2018/264

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Mai Chi Dao , and Callum Jones

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 07 December 2018

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484385906.001

ISBN: 9781484385906

Keywords: Pensions, Demographic indicators, Current account balances, Current account surpluses, Capital flows, Aging, Demographics, Current Account Flows, External Imbalances, General

Building on the evolving literature on the topic, this paper reviews the relationship between demographics and long-run capital flows in both theory and in the data. For this purpose, we develop a two region overla...

(Why) Should Current Account Balances Be Reduced?

(Why) Should Current Account Balances Be Reduced? »

Volume/Issue: 2011/3

Series: Staff Discussion Notes

Author(s): Gian Milesi-Ferretti , and Olivier Blanchard

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 02 March 2011

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781462384860.006

ISBN: 9781462384860

Keywords: global imbalances, current account, exchange rates, current account deficits, current account surpluses, exchange rate, current account deficit, Account Balances Be Reduced?,

Staff Discussion Notes showcase the latest policy-related analysis and research being developed by individual IMF staff and are published to elicit comment and to further debate. These papers are generally brief an...

Current Account Norms in Natural Resource Rich and Capital Scarce Economies

Current Account Norms in Natural Resource Rich and Capital Scarce Economies »

Volume/Issue: 2013/80

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Juliana Araujo , Bin Li , Marcos Poplawski-Ribeiro , and Luis-Felipe Zanna

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 27 March 2013

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484396032.001

ISBN: 9781484396032

Keywords: External Sustainability, Developing Economies, current account balances, current account balance, current account deficits, current account surpluses, Open Economy Macroeconomics, Cooperative Enterprises,

The permanent income hypothesis implies that frictionless open economies with exhaustible natural resources should save abroad most of their resource windfalls and, therefore, feature current account surpluses. Res...