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World Economic Outlook, April 2019

Growth Slowdown, Precarious Recovery

The global economic expansion decelerated in the second half of 2018 with global growth projected to slow to 3.3 percent in 2019, with risks to future growth on the downside.

World Economic Outlook, April 2019

Growth Slowdown, Precarious Recovery

The global economic expansion decelerated in the second half of 2018 with global growth projected to slow to 3.3 percent in 2019, with risks to future growth on the downside.

How Important is the Global Financial Cycle? Evidence from Capital Flows*

How Important is the Global Financial Cycle? Evidence from Capital Flows* »

Source: How Important is the Global Financial Cycle? Evidence from Capital Flows

Volume/Issue: 2017/193

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Eugenio Cerutti , Stijn Claessens , and Andrew Rose

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 2017

ISBN: 9781484316603

Keywords: Capital flows, Globalization, Monetary policy, Financial cycles, Panel analysis, Cross-country analysis, Capital market volatility, empirical; data; center; country; panel; fit; VIX; equity; bonds; FDI; credit, empirical, data

This study quantifies the importance of a Global Financial Cycle (GFCy) for capital flows. We use capital flow data dis-aggregated by direction and type between 1990Q1 and 2015Q5 for 85 countries, and conventional...

How Important is the Global Financial Cycle? Evidence from Capital Flows

How Important is the Global Financial Cycle? Evidence from Capital Flows »

Volume/Issue: 2017/193

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Eugenio Cerutti , Stijn Claessens , and Andrew Rose

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 2017

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484316603.001

ISBN: 9781484316603

Keywords: Capital flows, Globalization, Monetary policy, Financial cycles, Panel analysis, Cross-country analysis, Capital market volatility, empirical; data; center; country; panel; fit; VIX; equity; bonds; FDI; credit, empirical, data

This study quantifies the importance of a Global Financial Cycle (GFCy) for capital flows. We use capital flow data dis-aggregated by direction and type between 1990Q1 and 2015Q5 for 85 countries, and conventional...